Woloh писал(а):
usun писал(а):
Me? Pro-Russian??? You must be kidding.
1) Well, you are definitely not pro-Belarusian so far :).
usun писал(а):
I work in Toronto, not in Moscow.
2) I see no conflict in that.
usun писал(а):
Russian mediocrity and weakness is a good thing for Belarus, it means that we can compete on their market and they are too weak to incorporate us into their Federation.
3) That's like claiming that playing in a village football is better than in a premier league. Problem is - what's the point of playing then? You'll waste time, gain nothing, and grow old before you can't play at all.
usun писал(а):
Russia is a source of resources and a market and we use both right here and now. These resources can be used for transformation like South Korea or Singapore, if we are lucky.
4) Experience shows that resource countries are usually the worst performers. If Belarus is a part of NATO, I don't think Russia will get worse with us. I think it will actually get better. That's the way the Russians are - they respect only force, even if they brag about it.
usun писал(а):
And what EU suggests? Just to become a source for cheap labour and integration into their economy from a very low start.
5) Here I agree with you, but imo things are not so black and white. You gotta be smart if you start playing this game. Think, prioritize, and place right bets.
usun писал(а):
if we can use some parts of the system during migration period - they should be used, for many and many years. The primary goal is transform Belarusian economy into something competitive and modern, it's better to reuse as much as we can,
6) We are actually doomed to use this system. Problem is - are you sure we are not trying to keep exactly the rope that strangles us? It's like during Nazi the times - "yeahh, Nazis are bad, but maybe we can use them..., or elements of them...". Nope - they only right choice during the Nazi times is to go into the forest, and blow some trains.
usun писал(а):
new elites from opposition? haha, they've got even less experience and frankly even skills.
7) We couldn't find a more agreeable point
1) well, at least I want Belarus to be an independent state and I strongly oppose joining confederation with Poland, Russia, EU. So, from my viewpoint, I'm more pro-Belarus than anyone who is promoting to become a part of any new empire. :)
2) ok
3) I've got a better example where I got personal experience. Playing poker. I don't give a c*** about ego and attempts to play against strong regulars in "capital" like PokerStars major tournaments. I'd rather seek for small "village" rooms with very weak and soft fields. Because my primary objective playing poker regularly is to win money. Similar principle in business, any market is good if you can make profit there.
4) Well, resource-based Canada says hi :)
Anyway, I agree Russia is quite weak and their future is not so bright. However, they got what we lack - resources and market, and we are getting them right now. Sure EU has a bigger market, and much better technologies, and that's not use for us, our economy is incompatible with them and we cannot compete on that market. Huge resources are required to migrate and plug in our economy into EU market and make it competitive. I'd better try to reuse what we have and use as a basis for transformation than to start from scratch.
As for aggression from Russia, luckily it's too weak for that and they've got bigger problems to save what they already got.
5) I looking to our government and top management, I don't think they are very smart, so let them do what they can if we have no realistic and better alternatives (lack of any management resources is a major problem in Belarusian business).
6) not really, similar systems were used successfully in South East Asia not so long ago. Our country is in transition state, right now government managed to preserve soviet legacy production and replug them with Russian resources and production chains, something was even modernized and plugged into the global market and Western production chains (e.g. IT Software; some parts for machinery). We've got maximum resources mobilized to transform now. And here comes the problem, I'm not sure if anyone got a plan what they want to transform to. I'm not sure if they competent enough to prepare this plan and fulfil it. The worst part here, that there are no real alternative top management resources who can do it instead of ones already in power.
I personally think, that we can either try to build a corporate state like Singapore or try to split state economy into few viable conglomerates like in South Korea - they should compete on global market, our domestic market is too weak to allow full-scale market economy, it won't stand a chance against other international corporations and businesses from neighbour countries.
7) I think we have to wait for owners and management from major businesses around state sector of economy or from inside it, or international joint ventures. These are the only guys who can provide required management service. What we can do? May be help with ideology and present it to them.